This article explores Iran's strategy as it prepares for talks with the United States. Despite being shaken by military strikes, economic sanctions, and protests at home, the Iranian leadership is taking a firm, uncompromising stance. Analysts suggest this confidence comes from a specific gamble: Tehran believes the U.S. president wants to avoid a long, expensive war and lacks a solid plan for regime change. The report also highlights a split among Iranian activists, some of whom call for outside intervention while others fear it will do more harm than good.