The Gorton and Denton by-election is shaping up to be an unpredictable, high-stakes battle between Labour, Reform UK, and the Green Party. This three-way race has turned the constituency into a political battleground where any of the main contenders could win.

Labour candidate Angeliki Stogia has voiced her frustration with Reform UK, while Green candidate Hannah Spencer is focusing her campaign on local struggles, such as the rising cost of living. Political analysts suggest that Reform UK might secure a victory if the Green Party draws enough support away from Labour to split their traditional voter base. This possibility has grown as several smaller parties have begun urging their own supporters to back the Greens instead.

Describing the volatile race, one professor called the situation a "pollster's nightmare." With three different parties holding a realistic path to victory, the final outcome remains anyone's guess.

World

Gorton and Denton by-election: High stakes and a pollster's nightmare

February 8, 2026
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